Saturday, July 6, 2013

Emmy Nomination Preview 2013 - Lead Actor in a Drama Series

        Saturday, July 6 - Last month, the ballots were released for the contenders for the upcoming 2013 Emmy Awards. With nominations being announced on the morning of July 18, I'm going through all of the major categories and analyzing which performers are most likely to make the nomination list.

Nominees for the 2012 Emmy Awards
        Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
        Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
        Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
        Michael C. Hall, Dexter
        Jon Hamm, Mad Men
        Damian Lewis, Homeland

        Veteran nominees have a strong hold on this category. Cranston, Hall, Hamm and Buscemi are all perennial nominees. Additionally, Lewis was the winner from last year. All of this means it is going to be very difficult for any new blood to enter the list. However, Kevin Spacey of House of Cards is all but assured a nod because of the weight of his name. So, he is likely to knock someone off the list - with Bonneville, Hall and Buscemi seemingly the weakest. Additionally, there is a depth of performers who had great years but have the odds against them for breaking into the category. That list includes Matthew Rhys, Peter Krause, Hugh Dancy, Jeff Daniels, William H. Macy, Timothy Olyphant and Aden Young. Six of those names could fill up this ballot and it would still be a very strong competition. So with all that said, here's how I think the chips will fall this year.

NOTE: These rankings are how likely I think people are to be nominated NOT who is likely to win in September.

* = My Top 6 performers - the ones I would vote for if I had a ballot.

LIKELY TO BE NOMINATED

1. BRYAN CRANSTON, BREAKING BAD *

2. DAMIAN LEWIS, HOMELAND *

3. JON HAMM, MAD MEN *

4. KEVIN SPACEY, HOUSE OF CARDS

5. STEVE BUSCEMI, BOARDWALK EMPIRE

6. MICHAEL C. HALL, DEXTER

MAJOR UPSET CONTENDERS

7. HUGH BONNEVILLE, DOWNTON ABBEY

8. MATTHEW RHYS, THE AMERICANS *

9. JEFF DANIELS, THE NEWSROOM

10. PETER KRAUSE, PARENTHOOD *

11. HUGH DANCY, HANNIBAL *

12. KEVIN BACON, THE FOLLOWING

13. TIMOTHY OLYPHANT, JUSTIFIED

14. WILLIAM H. MACY, SHAMELESS

15. ANDREW LINCOLN, THE WALKING DEAD

16. TRAVIS FIMMEL, VIKINGS

17. ADEN YOUNG, RECTIFY

HONORABLE MENTIONS

ANDRE BRAUGHER, LAST RESORT

KELSEY GRAMMER, BOSS

CHARLIE HUNNAM, SONS OF ANARCHY

JEREMY IRONS, THE BORGIAS

JONNY LEE MILLER, ELEMENTARY

CLARKE PETERS, TREME


Previous Emmy Previews:
        Lead Comedy Actress
        Lead Comedy Actor
        Lead Miniseries Actress
        Lead Miniseries Actor
        Guest Comedy Actress
        Guest Comedy Actor
        Guest Drama Actress
        Guest Drama Actor
        Supporting Miniseries Actress
        Supporting Miniseries Actor
        Supporting Comedy Actress
        Supporting Comedy Actor
        Supporting Drama Actress
        Supporting Drama Actor

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