Saturday, July 6, 2013

Emmy Nomination Preview 2013 - Lead Actress in a Drama Series

        Saturday, July 6 - Last month, the ballots were released for the contenders for the upcoming 2013 Emmy Awards. With nominations being announced on the morning of July 18, I'm going through all of the major categories and analyzing which performers are most likely to make the nomination list.

Nominees for the 2012 Emmy Awards
        Kathy Bates, Harry's Law
        Glenn Close, Damages
        Claire Danes, Homeland
        Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
        Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
        Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

        Looking at my rankings here, I think if the Emmys nominated the great actresses in slots 7-12, it would be just as great a list as those I'm actually predicting. That's how strong this field is this year. There is going to be at least one open slot for a newcomer to category as Kathy Bates has left and I feel strongly that the other five nominees will repeat - although Close only because of her name and not by the (non-existant) buzz surrounding the last season of Damages. And now, that one open spot. I'm thinking that Connie Britton will land it simply because she has a much stronger track record at the Emmys than equally deserving contenders Tatiana Maslany, Keri Russell, Kerry Washington, Robin Wright and Vera Farmiga. So with all that said, here is how I think the chips will fall this year.

NOTE: These rankings are how likely I think people are to be nominated NOT who is likely to win in September.

* = My Top 6 performers - the ones I would vote for if I had a ballot.

LIKELY TO BE NOMINATED

1. CLAIRE DANES, HOMELAND *

2. JULIANNA MARGULIES, THE GOOD WIFE *

3. ELISABETH MOSS, MAD MEN *

4. MICHELLE DOCKERY, DOWNTON ABBEY

5. GLENN CLOSE, DAMAGES

6. CONNIE BRITTON, NASHVILLE

MAJOR UPSET CONTENDERS

7. TATIANA MASLANY, ORPHAN BLACK *

8. KERI RUSSELL, THE AMERICANS *

9. KERRY WASHINGTON, SCANDAL *

10. VERA FARMIGA, BATES MOTEL

11. ROBIN WRIGHT, HOUSE OF CARDS

12. EMMY ROSSUM, SHAMELESS

13. KYRA SEDGWICK, THE CLOSER

14. MARISKA HARGITAY, LAW & ORDER: SVU

HONORABLE MENTIONS

SARAH WAYNE CALLIES, THE WALKING DEAD

LUCY LIU, ELEMENTARY

VANESSA MARANO, SWITCHED AT BIRTH

ELLEN POMPEO, GREY'S ANATOMY

KATEY SAGAL, SONS OF ANARCHY

KATHERYN WINNICK, VIKINGS


Previous Emmy Previews:
        Lead Drama Actor
        Lead Comedy Actress
        Lead Comedy Actor
        Lead Miniseries Actress
        Lead Miniseries Actor
        Guest Comedy Actress
        Guest Comedy Actor
        Guest Drama Actress
        Guest Drama Actor
        Supporting Miniseries Actress
        Supporting Miniseries Actor
        Supporting Comedy Actress
        Supporting Comedy Actor
        Supporting Drama Actress
        Supporting Drama Actor

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