Emmy Predictions 2016 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Lead Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie?

From June 13 to June 27, voting is taking place for The 68th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. To add to the excitement of the past year in television, I'm providing analysis on which shows and performers are likely to get nominated this year. Next up is Lead Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie.

Surprisingly, the Lead Actress race doesn't have the same kind of depth as the other Limited Series categories do. However, it has perhaps the most heated match up for the eventual winner. Sarah Paulson and Kirsten Dunst gave the best performances of their careers in The People v. O.J. Simpsons and Fargo, respectively. One of them will likely win. But choosing will be incredibly difficult. In addition to those two frontrunners, there were a number of equally deserving performances from the likes of Kerry Washington, Felicity Huffman, Lili Taylor, Audra McDonald, Riley Keough and Sarah Gadon. The suspense over who will be nominated probably isn't as great as it is in other races. But this will still be a key race to watch come Emmy night in September.

So now, here's my thoughts on the actors most likely to be nominated for Lead Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie:

1. Sarah Paulson for FX's The People v. O.J. Simpson
2. Kirsten Dunst for FX's Fargo
3. Kerry Washington for HBO's Confirmation
4. Felicity Huffman for ABC's American Crime
5. Audra McDonald for HBO's Lady Day at Emerson's Bar & Grill
6. Lili Taylor for ABC's American Crime

And now, for some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Lady Gaga for FX's American Horror Story: Hotel
2. Riley Keough for Starz's The Girlfriend Experience
3. Shanice Williams for NBC's The Wiz Live!
4. Rachel McAdams for HBO's True Detective
5. Blythe Danner for ABC's Madoff
6. Sarah Gadon for Hulu's 11.22.63

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Lily James for A&E, History and Lifetime's War & Peace
2. Uzo Aduba and Maggie Grace for Lifetime's Showing Roots
3. Sarah Hay for Starz's Flesh and Bone
4. Samantha Morton for SundanceTV's The Last Panthers
5. Mary Steenburgen for Lifetime's Jim Henson's Turkey Hollow

And now, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Alyvia Alyn Lind for NBC's Dolly Parton's Coat of Many Colors
2. Julianne Hough for FOX's Grease: Live!
3. Kristen Wiig for Lifetime's A Deadly Adoption
4. Kristen Wiig for IFC's The Spoils Before Dying

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!