Emmy Predictions 2018 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series?

From June 11 to June 25, 2018, voting is taking place for The 70th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. To add to the excitement of the past year in television, I'm providing analysis on which shows and performers are likely to get nominated this year. Next up is Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series.

2017 Nominees:

        Louie Anderson for FX's Baskets
        Alec Baldwin for NBC's Saturday Night Live
        Tituss Burgess for Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
        Ty Burrell for ABC's Modern Family
        Tony Hale for HBO's Veep
        Matt Walsh for HBO's Veep

I honestly think that all of the nominees from last year are vulnerable in the race this year. The Veep guys are out because the final season was delayed. But Tony Hale is still in the running for Arrested Development - alongside many of this co-stars who could appear here. Meanwhile, this feels like the year that Ty Burrell stops getting nominated simply due to the sheer influx of new and worthy talent. Shows like Atlanta, Barry, The Marvelous Mrs. Baisel, GLOW and Will & Grace could easily fill this category with newcomers to this race. I could fill an entire ballot that would actually be pretty great with contenders from those shows. There is even the possibility of Louie Anderson, Alec Baldwin and Tituss Burgess falling out of the race. Their nominations are no longer as vital as they once were. I think Anderson has the greatest odds of returning because his performance is still so well received and defining of that show. Meanwhile, Baldwin may have cause for concern considering reaction to his role is no longer as strong as it was a year ago when he sailed through to victory. As such, this is a turbulent category that may be home to some of the most surprising nominations this year.

So now, here's my thoughts on the actors most likely to be nominated for Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series:

1. Louie Anderson for FX's Baskets
2. Henry Winkler for HBO's Barry
3. Brian Tyree Henry for FX's Atlanta
4. Tony Shalhoub for Amazon's The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
5. Marc Maron for Netflix's GLOW
6. Alec Baldwin for NBC's Saturday Night Live

And now, for some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Sean Hayes for NBC's Will & Grace
2. Tituss Burgess for Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
3. Lakeith Stanfield for FX's Atlanta
4. Ty Burrell, Eric Stonestreet, Jesse Tyler Ferguson and Ed O'Neill for ABC's Modern Family
5. Anthony Carrigan, Stephen Root and Glenn Fleshler for HBO's Barry
6. Andre Braugher for FOX's Brooklyn Nine-Nine
7. Jay Ellis for HBO's Insecure
8. Manny Jacinto, William Jackson Harper and Marc Evan Jackson for NBC's The Good Place
9. J.B. Smoove, Jeff Garlin and Richard Lewis for HBO's Curb Your Enthusiasm
10. Zach Woods, Kumail Nanjiani, Matt Ross and Martin Starr for HBO's Silicon Valley
11. Will Arnett, Tony Hale, Michael Cera, David Cross and Jeffrey Tambor for Netflix's Arrested Development
12. Deon Cole and Laurence Fishburne for ABC's Black-ish
13. Kyle Mooney, Mikey Day, Kenan Thompson, Alex Moffat and Beck Bennett for NBC's Saturday Night Live
14. Christopher Meloni, Paul Rudd, Josh Charles, Chris Pine and Adam Scott for Netflix's Wet Hot American Summer: 10 Years Later
15. Ray Romano for Epix's Get Shorty
16. Jay Duplass and Rob Huebel for Amazon's Transparent
17. Walton Goggins for HBO's Vice Principals
18. Stephen Mangan for Showtime's Episodes

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Martin Sheen and Sam Waterston for Netflix's Grace & Frankie
2. Jaime Camil and Justin Baldoni for The CW's Jane the Virgin
3. Tyrel Jackson Williams and Utkarsh Ambudkar for IFC's Brockmire
4. DeRon Horton, Brandon Bell, John Patrick Amedori and Marque Richardson for Netflix's Dear White People
5. John Ross Bowie, Micah Fowler and Mason Cook for ABC's Speechless
6. Scott Michael Foster and Pete Gardner for The CW's Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
7. Terry Crews and Joe Lo Truglio for FOX's Brooklyn Nine-Nine
8. Pete Davidson, Colin Jost, Michael Che and Chris Redd for NBC's Saturday Night Live
9. Sam Elliott for Netflix's The Ranch
10. Cedric the Entertainer, Allen Maldonado and Ryan Gaul for TBS' The Last O.G.
11. Todd Grinnell, Stephen Tobolowsky and Marcel Ruiz for Netflix's One Day at a Time
12. David Wain, Michael Ian Black, Joe Lo Truglio, Ken Marino and Mark Feuerstein for Netflix's Wet Hot American Summer: 10 Years Later
13. Michael Rapaport for Netflix's Atypical
14. Cleo Anthony, Lyriq Bent and Anthony Ramos for Netflix's She's Gotta Have It
15. Desmin Borges for FXX's You're the Worst
16. Michael Zegen for Amazon's The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
17. Patton Oswalt for NBC's A.P. Bio
18. Mel Rodriguez for FOX's The Last Man on Earth

And now, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. John Rothman for Amazon's One Mississippi
2. Paul Sparks for Starz's Sweetbitter
3. Max Greenfield for FOX's New Girl
4. Jon Cryer for YouTube Premium's Ryan Hansen Solves Crimes on Television
5. Will Ferrell for CBS All Access' No Activity
6. Tracy Letts for HBO's Divorce
7. Miguel Gomez for Showtime's SMILF
8. Fred Savage, Nat Faxon and Billy Eichner for Netflix's Friends From College
9. Jackie Earle Haley for Amazon's The Tick
10. Derek Wilson and Ed Begley Jr. for Hulu's Future Man
11. Ritchie Coster and Patrick Fischler for Syfy's Happy!
12. Zach Gilford and Colt Prattles for Sundance Now's This Close

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!