Emmy Predictions 2018 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie?

From June 11 to June 25, 2018, voting is taking place for The 70th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. To add to the excitement of the past year in television, I'm providing analysis on which shows and performers are likely to get nominated this year. Next up is Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie.

2017 Nominees:

        Bill Camp for HBO's The Night Of
        Alfred Molina for FX's Feud: Bette and Joan
        Alexander Skarsgård for HBO's Big Little Lies (WINNER)
        David Thewlis for FX's Fargo
        Stanley Tucci for FX's Feud: Bette and Joan
        Michael K. Williams for HBO's The Night Of

FX has gotten multiple nominees in this category thanks to anthology series produced by Ryan Murphy. The People vs. O.J. Simpson got three while Feud: Bette and Joan got two. As such, it may be easy to assume that The Assassination of Gianni Versace will get several actors in this field. And yet, that season wasn't as beloved as the two previous Murphy projects. It has its fans and it will certainly get a number of nominations. But it may not be able to get more than one nominee in this very crowded category. In fact, this field may decide whether or not Hulu has been able to expand its influence over Emmy voters beyond The Handmaid's Tale. The Looming Tower was their big swing to court the same audience and win a bunch of awards. It too didn't arrive with a whole lot of conversation. But there's also the potential of getting as many as four nominees in this race. This ballot could be filled with performers from those two shows if the voters enjoyed them enough. But that would also be snubbing some terrific performances from Godless, Jesus Christ Superstar Live, Twin Peaks, The Tale, The Terror, Patrick Melrose and many more too.

So now, here's my thoughts on the actors most likely to be nominated for Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie:

1. Edgar Ramirez for FX's The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story
2. Jeff Daniels for Netflix's Godless
3. Bill Camp for Hulu's The Looming Tower
4. Michael Stuhlbarg for Hulu's The Looming Tower
5. Michael Shannon for HBO's Fahrenheit 451
6. Brandon Victor Dixon for NBC's Jesus Christ Superstar Live in Concert

And now, for some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Ricky Martin, Cody Fern and Finn Wittrock for FX's The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story
2. Peter Sarsgaard and Tahar Rahim for Hulu's The Looming Tower
3. Jason Ritter and Common for HBO's The Tale
4. Scoot McNairy for Netflix's Godless
5. David Lynch, Robert Forster, Miguel Ferrer and Michael Horse for Showtime's Twin Peaks: The Return
6. Tobias Menzies, Adam Nagaitis, Ciarán Hinds and Paul Ready for AMC's The Terror
7. Hugo Weaving and Pip Torrens for Showtime's Patrick Melrose
8. Beau Bridges, Paul Reubens and Frederick Weller for HBO's Mosaic
9. Bill Pullman and Christopher Abbott for USA's The Sinner
10. Jimmi Simpson and Aldis Hodge for Netflix's Black Mirror
11. Paul Bettany for Discovery's Manhunt: Unabomber
12. Dylan Baker and Michael Gambon for PBS' Little Women
13. Billy Eichner and Cheyenne Jackson for FX's American Horror Story: Cult
14. Alex Lawther and Joseph Quinn for Starz's Howards End

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Tyler Alvarez and Griffin Gluck for Netflix's American Vandal
2. Edward Holcroft and Zachary Levi for Netflix's Alias Grace
3. Alice Cooper for NBC's Jesus Christ Superstar Live in Concert
4. Mike Colter, Charlie Cox and Finn Jones for Netflix's The Defenders
5. Luke Evans for TNT's The Alienist
6. Bokeem Woodbine, Jimmi Simpson and Marcc Rose for USA's Unsolved: The Murders of Tupac and the Notorious B.I.G.
7. David Dencik and Ewen Leslie for SundanceTV's Top of the Lake: China Girl
8. Liam Cunningham and David Lyons for Amazon's Philip K. Dick's Electric Dreams
9. Alex Rich, Seth Gabel and T.R. Knight for National Geographic's Genius: Picasso
10. Paul Sparks, John Leguizamo and Rory Culkin for Paramount's Waco
11. Michael Kelly, Jason Ritter and Noel Fisher for National Geographic's The Long Road Home
12. Russell Hornsby and Beau Knapp for Netflix's Seven Seconds
13. Greg Grunberg for HBO's Paterno

And now, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Josh Charles, Anthony Edwards and Harry Hamlin for NBC's Law & Order: True Crime - The Menendez Murders
2. Skeet Ulrich for Lifetime's I Am Elizabeth Smart
3. Kevin Bacon for Lifetime's Story of a Girl
4. Ray Stevenson and Paterson Joseph for Cinemax's Rellik
5. Nathaniel Martello-White for Netflix's Collateral
6. Corbin Bernsen for USA's Psych: The Movie
7. Chris Diamantopoulos for FOX's A Christmas Story Live
8. John Carroll Lynch for Syfy's Channel Zero: No-End House

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!