Emmy Predictions 2019 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie?

From June 10 to June 24, 2019, voting is taking place for The 71st Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, here is how I see the race for Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or TV Movie.

2018 Nominees:

        Sara Bareilles for NBC's Jesus Christ Superstar Live in Concert
        Penélope Cruz for FX's The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story
        Judith Light for FX's The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story
        Adina Porter for FX's American Horror Story: Cult
        Merritt Wever for Netflix's Godless (WINNER)
        Letitia Wright for Netflix's Black Mirror

Patricia Clarkson for Sharp Objects and Patricia Arquette for The Act have essentially been going back-and-forth over who will ultimately win in this category. They have seemed like the frontrunners in this race ever since their respective shows aired. For Clarkson, that was since last summer. For Arquette, it was this spring following a different acclaimed run on Escape at Dannemora just a few months prior. Both of them are fantastic. It's also notable how they are playing eerily similar characters who suffer from the same mental illness. The shows can be widely different and will likely have different traction with the Emmy voters. But that is truly the story to watch in this particular race. The other contenders are basically just running in order to make it into the field. As such, that could be a welcome entrance from some unexpected players. Perhaps Marla Gibbs could get another shot at glory for playing her role from The Jeffersons. Or maybe Sally Field will sail through to another Emmy nomination because of her beloved stature in the industry. Or maybe the Emmys will recognize strong new talent like Margaret Qualley, Eliza Scanlen, Carmen Ejogo and Jessie Buckley for their solid performances. All could be fascinating additions here.

So now, here are the actors most likely to be nominated:

1. Patricia Clarkson for HBO's Sharp Objects
2. Patricia Arquette for Hulu's The Act
3. Emily Watson for HBO's Chernobyl
4. Carmen Ejogo for HBO's True Detective
5. Eliza Scanlen for HBO's Sharp Objects
6. Sally Field for Netflix's Maniac

Next are some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Vera Farmiga, Marsha Stephanie Blake, Kylie Bunbury and Famke Janssen for Netflix's When They See Us
2. Marla Gibbs, Kerry Washington, Jackée Harry and Ellie Kemper for ABC's Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and The Jeffersons
3. Margaret Qualley for FX's Fosse/Verdon
4. Emma Thompson, Emily Watson and Florence Pugh for Amazon's King Lear
5. Robin Weigert, Anna Gunn and Kim Dickens for HBO's Deadwood: The Movie
6. Jessie Buckley for HBO's Chernobyl
7. Vanessa Hudgens and Kiersey Clemons on FOX's Rent Live
8. Sissy Spacek, Melanie Lynskey and Jane Levy for Hulu's Castle Rock

Here are some considerable long-shots:

1. Julia Garner and Sonoya Mizuno for Netflix's Maniac
2. Elizabeth Reaser, Victoria Pedretti and Kate Siegel for Netflix's The Haunting of Hill House
3. Miranda Richardson and Adria Arjona for Amazon's Good Omens
4. Lily Collins for PBS' Les Misérables
5. Storm Reid, Isis King, Aurora Perrineau and Dascha Polanco for Netflix's When They See Us
6. Chloë Sevigny and AnnaSophia Robb for Hulu's The Act
7. Jean Smart, Julia Garner and Juno Temple for Bravo's Dirty John
8. Judith Light for Lifetime's Escaping the Madhouse: The Nellie Bly Story

And finally, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Sanaa Lathan and KiKi Layne for HBO's Native Son
2. Connie Nielsen for TNT's I Am the Night
3. Fiona Shaw and Keeley Hawes for PBS' Mrs. Wilson
4. Harriet Walter, Tamara Tunie and Noma Dumezweni for Netflix's Black Earth Rising
5. Annet Mahendru and Clea DuVall for Amazon's The Romanoffs
6. Harriet Walter and Laura Carmichael for Starz's The Spanish Princess
7. Alex Kingston for Amazon's The Widow

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!