Emmy Predictions 2019 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Supporting Actor in a Drama Series?

From June 10 to June 24, 2019, voting is taking place for The 71st Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, here is how I see the race for Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.

2018 Nominees:

        Nikolaj Coster-Waldau for HBO's Game of Thrones
        Peter Dinklage for HBO's Game of Thrones (WINNER)
        Joseph Fiennes for Hulu's The Handmaid's Tale
        David Harbour for Netflix's Stranger Things
        Mandy Patinkin for Showtime's Homeland
        Matt Smith for Netflix's The Crown

As with many of the drama categories this year, there is going to be a ton of turnover because many of the nominated dramas in the past chose to put some distance between them and Game of Thrones. Now, some can argue whether or not that was a smart decision. It makes it seem as if the final season of Game of Thrones is expected to win in every category it is nominating in. And yes, it would be a record-breaking win for Peter Dinklage if he were to prevail in this category once more. He could have four trophies - more than any other performer in this category. That would be impressive. But beyond the two likely Game of Thrones options, Jonathan Banks seems poised to return to the race while the rest is up in the air. There are some bold and excited new dramas this year. It will be a major story on nominations morning whether any of them had significant breakthroughs. As such, it should be very compelling to see which actors actually make it onto this list and what that could possibly mean for shaking up the category. Will those nods go to new shows or to veteran dramas whose actors have been shut out of this race over the last few years?

So now, here are the actors most likely to be nominated:

1. Peter Dinklage for HBO's Game of Thrones
2. Jonathan Banks for AMC's Better Call Saul
3. Nikolaj Coster-Waldau for HBO's Game of Thrones
4. Bobby Cannavale for Amazon's Homecoming
5. Kieran Culkin for HBO's Succession
6. Justin Hartley for NBC's This Is Us

Next are some serious threats that could break into the list:

1. Michael Kelly, Greg Kinnear, Campbell Scott and Cody Fern for Netflix's House of Cards
2. Shea Whigham for Amazon's Homecoming
3. Matthew Macfadyen, Alan Ruck and Nicholas Braun for HBO's Succession
4. Peter Mullan and Jason Butler Harner for Netflix's Ozark
5. Alfie Allen and Pilou Asbæk for HBO's Game of Thrones
6. Jon Voight for Showtime's Ray Donovan
7. Giancarlo Esposito and Patrick Fabian for AMC's Better Call Saul
8. Joel Kinnaman for Amazon's Hanna
9. Kim Bodnia, Owen McDonnell, Edward Bluemel, Sean Delaney and Henry Lloyd-Hughes for BBC America's Killing Eve
10. Evan Peters, Billy Porter, Cheyenne Jackson and Billy Eichner for FX's American Horror Story: Apocalypse
11. Michael Sheen, Gary Cole and Delroy Lindo for CBS All Access' The Good Fight
12. Asia Kate Dillon, David Costabile, Kelly AuCoin, Toby Leonard Moore and Jeffrey DeMunn for Showtime's Billions
13. Evan Peters, Ryan Jamaal Swain, Angel Bismark Curiel, Dyllón Burnside and James Van Der Beek for FX's Pose
14. Wendell Pierce for Amazon's Jack Ryan
15. Tracy Letts and Elisha Henig for USA's The Sinner
16. Eric Allan Kramer and David Pasquesi for AMC's Lodge 49
17. Richard Schiff for ABC's The Good Doctor
18. Tony Goldwyn for Netflix's Chambers

Here are some considerable long-shots:

1. Neal McDonough for History's Project Blue Book
2. Gary Carr, Gbenga Akinnagbe, Chris Bauer, Chris Coy and Lawrence Gilliard Jr. for HBO's The Deuce
3. Edward James Olmos, Richard Cabral, Danny Pino, Clayton Cardenas, Michael Irby and Emilio Rivera for FX's Mayans MC
4. Joaquín Cosio for Netflix's Narcos: Mexico
5. Alex Hibbert, Jacob Latimore and Ntare Guma Mhabo Mwine for Showtime's The Chi
6. Joshua Jackson, Omar Metwally and Ramon Rodriguez for Showtime's The Affair
7. Danny Huston, Wes Bentley, Gil Birmingham, Luke Grimes and Cole Hauser for Paramount's Yellowstone
8. Morris Chestnut and Mark Duplass for Amazon's Goliath
9. Jovan Adepo and Mamoudou Athie for Facebook Watch's Sorry For Your Loss
10. Terry O'Quinn, Kurtwood Smith, Chris Conrad and Michael Chernus for Amazon's Patriot
11. Joe Morton for CBS' God Friended Me
12. Vincent D'Onofrio for Netflix's Daredevil
13. Pablo Schreiber, Crispin Glover, Orlando Jones and Bruce Langley for Starz's American Gods
14. Sean Berdy and Jack Mulhern for Netflix's The Society
15. Brendan Fraser and Bob Balaban for Audience's Condor
16. Harry Lloyd for Starz's Counterpart
17. Timothy West for HBO's Gentleman Jack
18. Anson Mount, Doug Jones, Anthony Rapp, Wilson Cruz and Ethan Peck for CBS All Access' Star Trek: Discovery
19. Jack Huston and Jharrel Jerome for Audience's Mr. Mercedes
20. Richard Coyle, Ross Lynch, Chance Perdomo and Gavin Leatherwood for Netflix's Chilling Adventures of Sabrina

And finally, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:

1. Luke Perry for The CW's Riverdale
2. Reg E. Cathey for Netflix's Luke Cage
3. Mark Hamill for History's Knightfall
4. Anupam Kher for NBC's New Amsterdam
5. Kenneth Choi and Oliver Star for FOX's 9-1-1
6. Richard Rankin for Starz's Outlander
7. Jason Isaacs and Emory Cohen for Netflix's The OA
8. Hale Appleman, Trevor Einhorn, Arjun Gupta and Rick Worthy for Syfy's The Magicians
9. Joivan Wade for DC Universe's Doom Patrol
10. Hoon Lee for Cinemax's Warrior
11. Jonathan Rhys Meyers for History's Vikings
12. Nick Frost for AMC's Into the Badlands
13. Tom Hopper and Cameron Britton for Netflix's The Umbrella Academy

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!