Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Emmy Predictions 2019 - Which Programs Will Likely Be Nominated for Comedy Series?

From June 10 to June 24, 2019, voting took place for The 71st Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, here is how I see the race for Comedy Series.

2018 Nominees:
        FX's Atlanta
        HBO's Barry
        ABC's Black-ish
        HBO's Curb Your Enthusiasm
        Netflix's GLOW
        Amazon's The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (WINNER)
        HBO's Silicon Valley
        Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt

Upon close inspection, there appears to be four shows that are essentially locks to get nominations this year - Veep, Barry, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel and The Kominsky Method. Three of them have strong track records at the Emmys - with two being the most recent winners in the category. Meanwhile, the Netflix comedy won the Golden Globe. Now, that isn't always a great test for getting into the same race at the Emmys. And yet, The Kominsky Method has a lot of positives in its appeal to Emmy voters as it's a show set inside the showbiz industry. Meanwhile, anything could happen elsewhere in this category. Black-ish and Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt are veterans of the field. And yet, their age may keep the voters from going for them again in favor of something new. There sure is a ton of great new shows that deserve praise as well. Even GLOW may not get a nomination after coming out strong a year ago. It will be an extremely competitive race to fill out this category. Conventional wisdom may put the odds in favor of new shows like Russian Doll or Dead to Me. However, surging contenders like The Good Place, Fleabag and Better Things which delivered strong seasons recently could also be well positioned to enter the field. There are lots of options and uncertainty heading into nomination morning.

So now, here are the programs most likely to be nominated:
  1. HBO's Veep
  2. Amazon's The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
  3. HBO's Barry
  4. Netflix's The Kominsky Method
  5. Netflix's Russian Doll
  6. Amazon's Fleabag
  7. Netflix's GLOW
Next are some serious threats that could break into the list:
  1. NBC's The Good Place
  2. FX's Better Things
  3. ABC's Black-ish
  4. Netflix's Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
  5. Netflix's Dead to Me
  6. Hulu's Ramy
  7. Amazon's Forever
  8. Showtime's Kidding
  9. ABC's Modern Family
  10. Pop's Schitt's Creek
  11. HBO's Insecure
  12. Showtime's Black Monday
  13. Hulu's Shrill
  14. Amazon's Catastrophe
  15. Comedy Central's The Other Two
  16. CBS' The Big Bang Theory
Here are some considerable long-shots:
  1. ABC's The Conners
  2. Hulu's PEN15
  3. NBC's Will & Grace
  4. Netflix's Grace & Frankie
  5. FX's What We Do In the Shadows
  6. Comedy Central's Broad City
  7. Netflix's After Life
  8. IFC's Brockmire
  9. Hulu's Casual
  10. NBC's Brooklyn Nine-Nine
  11. Netflix's American Vandal
  12. Netflix's Arrested Development
  13. ABC's Speechless
  14. NBC's Superstore
  15. The CW's Jane the Virgin
  16. The CW's Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
  17. FXX's You're the Worst
  18. Netflix's One Day at a Time
And finally, just some colorful oddities who still have an outside chance:
  1. TruTV's I'm Sorry
  2. FX's Mr Inbetween
  3. CBS' Murphy Brown
  4. Netflix's Atypical
  5. Amazon's The Tick
  6. YouTube Premium's Cobra Kai
  7. NBC's Trial & Error
  8. Starz's Vida
  9. Epix's Get Shorty
  10. CBS' Mom
  11. Netflix's On My Block
  12. ABC's Fresh Off the Boat
  13. Freeform's Grown-ish
  14. Starz's Now Apocalypse

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my choices? Let me know in the comments below!