Monday, August 10, 2020

Emmy Predictions 2020 - Which Program Will and Should Win for Variety Special (Live)?

The nominations have been announced for The 72nd Annual Primetime Emmy Awards. So now, it's time to speculate on which shows will and should win in each major category. Next up for analysis is Variety Special (Live).

The Nominees Ranked By Which Should Win:
  1. ABC's Live In Front of a Studio Audience: "All in the Family" and "Good Times"
  2. FOX's Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show Starring Jennifer Lopez and Shakira
  3. ABC's The Oscars
  4. CBS' 73rd Annual Tony Awards
  5. NBC's 77th Annual Golden Globe Awards

Live in Front of a Studio Audience is the new and exciting format in this category. This may be the lesser of the two variety special fields only because it features more known qualities. The Oscars, Golden Globes and Tony Awards are perennial nominees. As such, it's expected of them to appear. Meanwhile, Live in Front of a Studio Audience was brought back for a second live round after the first was successful with both viewers and the Emmy voters. And finally, the Super Bowl always has a chance of breaking through based on whomever happens to be performing in the halftime show. These formats may change slightly from year to year. However, they basically fit the same mold. That can be monotonous. I wouldn't say that Live in Front of a Studio Audience is as deserving the second time around. But again, it's a high energy format toplined by an incredible cast honoring television history. That appeals directly to voters. It's a nostalgia play that works because of how topical those stories still are. However, Jennifer Lopez and Shakira brought some real excitement and energy to their Super Bowl Halftime Show performances as well. So, it would be equally fun to see that project rewarded. 

The Nominees Ranked by Which Will Win:
  1. ABC's Live In Front of a Studio Audience: "All in the Family" and "Good Times"
  2. CBS' 73rd Annual Tony Awards
  3. FOX's Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show Starring Jennifer Lopez and Shakira
  4. ABC's The Oscars
  5. NBC's 77th Annual Golden Globe Awards

The only serious threat that may prevent Live in Front of a Studio Audience from prevailing for a second year is the Tony Awards. That's not because of something special or unique that occurred during that particular ceremony. It's just the only other project amongst these nominees that has won before. Plus, James Corden came back as the host. He remains an Emmy favorite. The voters may want to reward him somewhere and this could be an ample opportunity to do so. However, Live in Front of a Studio Audience added a number of Emmy winners to its cast for the second installment - Viola Davis, Andre Braugher, Tiffany Haddish and Jharrel Jerome. That may allow it to differentiate itself from what was previously rewarded. The Super Bowl Halftime Show could be a spoiler because it was a rush of excitement at the start of what turned out to be a dour year. However, no performance from the largest TV event of the year has ever actually won in this category. So, it would be shocking to see that broken this year. It could happen it just may not be likely. And finally, the odds seem long for Ricky Gervais hosting the Golden Globes or a hostless Oscars ceremony to prevail after failing to do so in the past. And so, this race may be one of least exciting categories this year.

What do you think? Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? Let me know in the comments below!