Emmy Predictions 2025 - Who Will Likely Be Nominated for Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?

From June 12 to 23, 2025, voting is taking place for The 77th Primetime Emmy Awards. As such, it's fun to look at which actors and shows have the best chances of actually being nominated this year. So, these are my predictions for which performers will be nominated for Lead Actor in a Comedy Series.

Performers most likely to be nominated:

1. Jeremy Allen White for FX's The Bear
2. Seth Rogen for AppleTV+'s The Studio
3. Martin Short for Hulu's Only Murders in the Building
4. Ted Danson for Netflix's A Man on the Inside
5. Steve Martin for Hulu's Only Murders in the Building

Serious threats that could break through:

1. Jason Segel for AppleTV+'s Shrinking
2. Steve Carell for Netflix's The Four Seasons
3. Adam Brody for Netflix's Nobody Wants This
4. Matt Berry and Kayvan Novak for FX's What We Do In the Shadows
5. Nathan Lane for Hulu's Mid-Century Modern
6. Nathan Fielder for HBO's The Rehearsal
7. Benito Skinner for Prime Video's Overcompensating

Some considerable long-shots:

1. Brian Jordan Alvarez for FX's English Teacher
2. Julio Torres for HBO's Fantasmas
3. Vince Vaughn for AppleTV+'s Bad Monkey
4. Ray Romano for Netflix's No Good Deed
5. Patrick Brammall for Paramount+'s Colin From Accounts
6. Danny McBride and John Goodman for HBO's The Righteous Gemstones
7. Ralph Macchio and William Zabka for Netflix's Cobra Kai

Colorful oddities that still have an outside chance:

1. David Alan Grier for NBC's St. Denis Medical
2. Kelsey Grammer for Paramount+'s Frasier
3. Mohammed Amer for Netflix's Mo
4. Tim Allen for ABC's Shifting Gears
5. Utkarsh Ambudkar for CBS' Ghosts
6. Montana Jordan for CBS' Georgie & Mandy's First Marriage
7. David Oyelowo for AppleTV+'s Government Cheese
8. Sylvester Stallone for Paramount+'s Tulsa King

The nominations for The 77th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced on Tuesday, July 15. The winners will be awarded in a ceremony airing on CBS and Paramount+ and hosted by stand-up comedian Nate Bargatze on Sunday, September 14.